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2 Options Probability Calculator Trading Guide Precision and Profits via Probability By Craig Severson Additional images courtesy of www.cboe.com and Qcharts (quote.com).

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Probability of profit refers to the probability that we will make on any given trade. Learn how to choose the best options to increase profit and prob..

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Mark, Please correct me if I am wrong but you never mention the use of a probability calculator (e.g., Monte Carlo Probability Calculator) as a

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Many calculators are available that give the theoretical probability that a stock may approach certain values at the end of a trading period. In real trading, however, investors are following the price of a stock or stock options throughout the entire trading period.

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No one knows and no theory can tell you. People often say that the probability of expiring in the money is approximately the option delta. This isn’t true. N

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The adage "know thyself"--and thy risk tolerance, thy underlying, and thy markets--applies to options trading if you want it to do it profitably.

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I recently discussed the ability to use implied volatility to calculate the probability of a successful outcome for any given option trade. To review briefly, the

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